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HomeFeatured StoriesBeijing’s Economic Playbook: Striking at America’s Wallet and Future

Beijing’s Economic Playbook: Striking at America’s Wallet and Future

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China showcased its military might and growing alliance with U.S. adversaries including Russia, North Korea and, at least for now, India. But that show of force is not the only threat posed by today’s axis of evil.

Equally alarming is the insidious attack by China and its allies on the U.S. dollar, ringing alarms across global financial markets. China and other central banks have been stockpiling gold, diversifying their reserves away from U.S. government bonds, driving gold prices higher and Treasury yields up. Their allies have followed suit.

Does it matter to most Americans? Yes. A weaker dollar means traveling abroad and imported goods are more expensive, even without tariffs. Higher interest rates inflate borrowing costs.

Morgan Stanley reports, “The value of the U.S. dollar against other currencies dropped about 11% in the first half of this year, the biggest decline in more than 50 years, ending a 15-year bull cycle.” The investment bank, writing last month, also noted that, “The U.S. dollar ended the first half of 2025 with its biggest loss since 1973,” and predicts more deterioration over the next 12 months.

In June, J.P. Morgan analysts predicted that gold prices would move higher in large part because of continued purchases by central banks. They wrote, “Gold holdings by central banks amount to nearly 36,200 tonnes and account for almost 20% of official reserves, up from around 15% at the end of 2023, according to reported IMF data through the end of 2024.”

“Diversification away from U.S. dollar reserve holdings, while still moderate, has been accelerating in recent years… The U.S. dollar share ended the year at around 57.8%, marking a 0.62 percentage point decline.”

Not all central banks have participated in the recent gold-buying spree. J.P. Morgan cited China, Poland, Turkey, India, Azerbaijan, Czechia and Iraq as the main players — not exactly a Who’s Who of U.S. allies.

Investors, too, have bought gold, especially in China. “ETF inflows have sharply gained momentum, with year-to-date total inflows amounting to 310 tonnes — translating to around 10% in total global holdings. This has been fueled largely by a 9.5% increase in U.S. holdings and a 70% increase in Chinese ETF holdings.”

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